druid/docs/development/extensions-core/test-stats.md

id	title
test-stats	Test Stats Aggregators

This Apache Druid (incubating) extension incorporates test statistics related aggregators, including z-score and p-value. Please refer to https://www.paypal-engineering.com/2017/06/29/democratizing-experimentation-data-for-product-innovations/ for math background and details.

Make sure to include druid-stats extension in order to use these aggregrators.

Z-Score for two sample ztests post aggregator

Please refer to https://www.isixsigma.com/tools-templates/hypothesis-testing/making-sense-two-proportions-test/ and http://www.ucs.louisiana.edu/~jcb0773/Berry_statbook/Berry_statbook_chpt6.pdf for more details.

z = (p1 - p2) / S.E. (assuming null hypothesis is true)

Please see below for p1 and p2. Please note S.E. stands for standard error where

S.E. = sqrt{ p1 * ( 1 - p1 )/n1 + p2 * (1 - p2)/n2) }

(p1 – p2) is the observed difference between two sample proportions.

zscore2sample post aggregator

• zscore2sample: calculate the z-score using two-sample z-test while converting binary variables (e.g. success or not) to continuous variables (e.g. conversion rate).

{
  "type": "zscore2sample",
  "name": "<output_name>",
  "successCount1": <post_aggregator> success count of sample 1,
  "sample1Size": <post_aggregaror> sample 1 size,
  "successCount2": <post_aggregator> success count of sample 2,
  "sample2Size" : <post_aggregator> sample 2 size
}

Please note the post aggregator will be converting binary variables to continuous variables for two population proportions. Specifically

p1 = (successCount1) / (sample size 1)

p2 = (successCount2) / (sample size 2)

pvalue2tailedZtest post aggregator

• pvalue2tailedZtest: calculate p-value of two-sided z-test from zscore
  • pvalue2tailedZtest(zscore) - the input is a z-score which can be calculated using the zscore2sample post aggregator

{
  "type": "pvalue2tailedZtest",
  "name": "<output_name>",
  "zScore": <zscore post_aggregator>
}

Example Usage

In this example, we use zscore2sample post aggregator to calculate z-score, and then feed the z-score to pvalue2tailedZtest post aggregator to calculate p-value.

A JSON query example can be as follows:

{
  ...
    "postAggregations" : {
    "type"   : "pvalue2tailedZtest",
    "name"   : "pvalue",
    "zScore" :
    {
     "type"   : "zscore2sample",
     "name"   : "zscore",
     "successCount1" :
       { "type"   : "constant",
         "name"   : "successCountFromPopulation1Sample",
         "value"  : 300
       },
     "sample1Size" :
       { "type"   : "constant",
         "name"   : "sampleSizeOfPopulation1",
         "value"  : 500
       },
     "successCount2":
       { "type"   : "constant",
         "name"   : "successCountFromPopulation2Sample",
         "value"  : 450
       },
     "sample2Size" :
       { "type"   : "constant",
         "name"   : "sampleSizeOfPopulation2",
         "value"  : 600
       }
     }
    }
}